It was 60 days in the past that Morgan Rogers found himself on the Stadium of Light pitch, seeming perplexed as his coach berated him for missing a pass in behind. At that point, as Villa went six without a win, the question was whether Rogers' form were an indicator or the reason for the team's broader struggles.
“As Rogers swept in his second… Emery ripped off his thick padded coat, spread his arms and roared.”
On Sunday, though, the touchline reaction was entirely much more joyous. As the in-form star curled home his second to restore the lead for Villa, Emery discarded his coat, opened his arms and shouted in triumph. The Birmingham club were on their way to a tenth straight victory , after failing to win their opening six games, are somehow a mere three points off pace-setters Arsenal.
Are They Legitimate Challengers?
That’s a particularly tough proposition to address. Past precedent, the perceived status of this institution, argues against it. Additionally, their performances haven't been completely commanding this season, while the wins have stacked up.
As per the data, in only two games has the team registered an expected goals figure notably superior than their opponents. For a side who have just won 10 in a row, they look strangely fragile – but right now the fine lines are swinging for them.
The Rogers Recipe
The prevailing tactic appears to be to trade blows with an opponent and wait for Rogers to rescue them with some crisp finishes. This was the case at Leeds, it transpired in London, and it happened against United.
Rogers' first goal stemmed from an exquisite effort, arced just inside the post from the edge of the area. His brace-completing goal was essentially a slight scruffier version of goal number one as he seized on an Ollie Watkins lay-off.
“Perhaps Rogers’ right foot is becoming like Arjen Robben’s left: just because you know he’s going to whip the ball into the top corner doesn’t mean you can stop him.”
Is It Sustainable?
Common sense dictates no. During the latest victory, the opposition had a greater number of attempts and more direct attempts. Villa have won each of their last eight by the narrowest of margins. They have allowed goals in all but one of those matches.
A reversion to average could be the biggest rival the club must confront as the season progresses. Their key man, surely, will not continue to drilling the football into the net's top corner week in, week out.
A Case for Belief
Could it be an alternative path whereby, rather than luck running out, the team's displays improve to justify the wins. Important figures may yet rediscover their best form.
- The centre-forward might resume adding to his goal tally.
- The winger could transform into the performer he was in Germany.
- The injured centre-backs are set to return from injury, bolstering a periodically leaky defence.
Maybe within that lies the potential for a sustained push, but they surely cannot keep relying on a single individual.
Savoring the Moment
Yet, this is a surprise. Few believed Aston Villa would occupy in the top three for the holidays. And certainly back in October, few could imagine the young forward now would be at the forefront of a title charge while looking like an essential Three Lions star.
This remarkable period should be enjoyed for the very reason that it appears so improbable. When Rogers positioned himself before the home supporters when the game ended leading the celebrations, he appeared to be relishing every moment. As he deserves to. These runs of form are rare in football and must be appreciated.
